@R_H_Ebright More about Olival:
@R_H_Ebright Olival is the one who had that very sudden epiphany about the risk of BatCov infection from bat guano ***just one year *** after the 3 people working in the Mojiang mine died with SARS-CoV like symptoms and with IgG+ tests.
@R_H_Ebright Nothing was ever mentioned about these Mojiang deaths. Just one of these coincidences.
They had to rush a bit to do that paper, so they used bat guano samples that DARPA had collected back in 2006-7, before EHA was created and could replace them there.
@R_H_Ebright The EHA put up a nice little simulation showing that there was 96% risk of epidemic spread in case of BatCov infection during bat guano collection.
Not sure how they got to that number - R0 and the likes are not clear.
@R_H_Ebright I guess that what they were saying is that:
- Mojiang could have had serious consequences if it had happened in a more populated area
- Please NIH/USAID, send us the money.
- Mojiang ??? Never heard of it.
@R_H_Ebright Anyway, for good measure the monks in that famous Thai bat cave have been harvesting bat guano every week-end for ages and selling it as fertilizers without any problem.
You need a Furin Cleavage Site to spice things up.